fcharton -> RE: Perfection, of a kind, spence (A) vs fcharton (J) (11/27/2013 4:11:51 PM)
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February 13th 1943 Odds and ends On Lunga, the 3rd marine division attacked, and reduced a fort level, for very low losses. It won’t last long, I can tell. During the night, enemy bombers visited Akyab. We shot down a Liberator II and a B24-D, and very little damage was done. A surface task force was detected between Taberfane and Saumlaki. Is this an invasion TF? Just some bombardment run? Ironically, this happens the day when Lautem becomes a level two airfield, and Kates will be able to have a shot at enemy ships. Arma virumque cano We had a carrier battle, after all. I didn’t really want one, and I don’t think the Allies meant it, but it happened. Here’s how. During the night the enemy carriers, south of Kirakira yesterday, moved north of Ndeni. They were not on an intercept course. I think my opponent just wanted to cover Ndeni, and keep them under his LBA umbrella. As my carriers, south of Ontong Java were supposed to retire northwards, no battle should have taken place. But fate had it differently: the Jake unit from Tulagi I use as night spotters detected the enemy CV seven or eight hexes from mine, and my carrier skippers decided to react and position themselves seven hexes away. This was a mixed blessing since I have Val 2 squadrons that won’t fly this range. I always put a significant number of bombers on search (20 to 30 for all squadrons in KB). This usually means quite a few losses to CAP, but I suspect it helps getting the first strike. So, in the morning, my search boys found the enemy, and they were ours, and the weather wasn’t that nice (heavy cloud over them, heavy rain over us), and some of the raids lost coordination. But we could manage a pretty good first strike. Vals were disappointing, but the Kates were splendid. Morning Air attack on TF, near Ndeni at 119,141 Weather in hex: Heavy cloud Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 14,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 34 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5 Zero x 62 B5N2 Kate x 97 D3A1 Val x 18 Allied aircraft F4F-3 Wildcat x 3 F4F-4 Wildcat x 104 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5 Zero: 10 destroyed B5N2 Kate: 13 destroyed, 24 damaged B5N2 Kate: 4 destroyed by flak D3A1 Val: 6 destroyed, 2 damaged D3A1 Val: 2 destroyed by flak Allied aircraft losses F4F-4 Wildcat: 4 destroyed Allied Ships BB South Dakota, Torpedo hits 4, on fire, heavy damage CV Wasp, Torpedo hits 3, on fire, heavy damage CV Hornet CV Saratoga, Bomb hits 1 CA Northampton BB Indiana A second strike, by latecomers then made an unsuccessful pass at the Hornet. Morning Air attack on TF, near Ndeni at 119,141 Weather in hex: Heavy cloud Raid detected at 78 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 33 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5 Zero x 17 B5N2 Kate x 12 Allied aircraft F4F-3 Wildcat x 1 F4F-4 Wildcat x 66 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5 Zero: 1 destroyed B5N2 Kate: 4 destroyed, 1 damaged B5N2 Kate: 1 destroyed by flak Allied aircraft losses F4F-4 Wildcat: 1 destroyed Allied Ships CV Hornet Then the allies had two unsuccessful attempts against my carriers. Note the relatively small strike packages. I suspect the damage done to the Wasp played a role. Morning Air attack on TF, near Auki at 119,134 Weather in hex: Heavy rain Raid detected at 74 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 35 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5 Zero x 52 Allied aircraft F4F-4 Wildcat x 51 SBD-3 Dauntless x 47 TBF-1 Avenger x 17 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5 Zero: 1 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4F-4 Wildcat: 5 destroyed SBD-3 Dauntless: 5 destroyed, 8 damaged SBD-3 Dauntless: 3 destroyed by flak Japanese Ships BB Kirishima CV Junyo CVL Zuiho CVE Unyo CV Kaga CV Hiyo CV Hiryu CA Kako CV Zuikaku Then we had another unsuccessful attempt against the vanguard CVE task force my opponent put one hex in front of his carriers, obviously as a CAP platform. Morning Air attack on TF, near Ndeni at 119,140 Weather in hex: Severe storms Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 20 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5 Zero x 34 D3A1 Val x 10 D3A2 Val x 10 D4Y1 Judy x 7 Allied aircraft F4F-4 Wildcat x 70 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5 Zero: 4 destroyed D3A1 Val: 3 destroyed, 2 damaged D3A2 Val: 6 destroyed D4Y1 Judy: 1 destroyed, 2 damaged D4Y1 Judy: 1 destroyed by flak Allied aircraft losses F4F-4 Wildcat: 1 destroyed Allied Ships CVE Sangamon The rest of the morning saw many bomber squadrons (four on my side, one on the Allies), and getting slaughtered by the CAP. The weather probably got worse in the afternoon, and nothing flew. What now? The second battle of Ndeni was a costly one (interestingly, it took place in the very area where KB sank the Lexington). We lost 190 planes, for 110 allies. But none of our ships got hit, and it looks like Wasp is a goner (three torpedo hits, and 50 planes reported as ops losses, which is pretty close to the full complement Wasp has, knowing that some fighters were in the air, and some bombers might have made it to Ndeni). South Dakota is also reported sunk. The VP total suggests they are still afloat, though. I am sending submarines in their general direction, just in case. I don’t think I want a second day. I have about 300 planes left in the task force, and my pilots are fatigued. My opponent probably has a similar number of planes left and even though his pilots are probably fatigued as well, I don’t want to give him a chance to even the score out. So, I am retiring tomorrow. Should I do this at flank speed (considering that I have a CVE and a couple of slow ships in the TF)? My hunch is that the Allies won’t pursue. The loss of the Wasp and the South Dakota for nothing should send the fleet home, I believe (especially if he was already hesitating about giving battle). But I won’t take any chance, and run for the clouds. They are forecasting ugly weather due east. But I am interested in opinions about what you’d do in such a situation.
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