RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (Full Version)

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KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/26/2012 10:52:42 PM)

T33 centre (Soviet)


I really regret reinforcing Reserve front at the expense of Western. They could have made difference somewhere.


Push between Vyazma and Kaluga is quite successful and I have to say I have no reason to complain about my progress in Orel region.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/D451EDD4B3FB48158D204047A0767FD9.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/26/2012 10:55:43 PM)

T33 centre/south (Soviet)


Nothing interesting here.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/B7B392F1394C4E6CB0C0927A98A4C151.jpg[/image]




gingerbread -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/26/2012 10:57:08 PM)

You might consider putting a STAVKA army or two in the far north so that the command capacity of Northern Front can be put to better use south of the movement limit.




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/26/2012 10:58:10 PM)

T33 south (Soviet)


Initial phase of operation - "Capture Stalino using flanking maneuver before blizzard ends" has began.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/84FBD179FB3F45518F18DCF246A66C6F.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/26/2012 11:00:57 PM)

quote:

gingerbread

You might consider putting a STAVKA army or two in the far north so that the command capacity of Northern Front can be put to better use south of the movement limit.




No time for that now unfortunately, I just need to keep pushing and hope for the best.




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/26/2012 11:05:23 PM)

T33 OOB (Soviet)


During the course of January:

Axis casualties - 417k
Soviet casualties - 521k



Destroyed German units - 2 inf division, 1 mtn division, 29 inf regiments.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/513B31688AB54246A21127581BBBB9A2.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 1:16:18 AM)

T34 battles (German)


New month, new turn, same old problems. I really sometimes have impression, that I will be beaten regardless of my CV.

(All German attacks undertaken against something more than tank brigades)

[image]local://upfiles/37480/195E343CB1BC4C9EB8A6618F3F23E9BC.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 1:32:05 AM)

T34 centre (German)


Vicious German counter-attacks in Orel bulge created so much space for his withdrawing troops, that I really doubt I will be able to harm Saper here.

I need to add, that my opponent made one attack in the north, against my poor tank brigade. Really, soldiers of this formations have really hard time this winter.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/1431DBEA0AFF442EB03730017D56EA8A.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 1:36:01 AM)

T34 south (German)


4 turns of blizzard left to capturing Stalino will be hard.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/489B5DCCA9F34C1CBEF921FD6140D9DC.jpg[/image]




Peltonx -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 2:44:04 AM)

Wow his tank numbers are still good and over # 3.2 mil, but you should easly have 7.5 million by summer and 4 to 6 fort belts. Be a boring 42 summer I am guessing.





KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 3:06:51 AM)

No chance I will have 7,5M by summer. 6,5M is max.




Peltonx -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 4:00:08 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Kamil

No chance I will have 7,5M by summer. 6,5M is max.


http://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=2851126&mpage=4

6.9 million heheh




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 4:06:28 AM)

Well, my losses at the end of January were already 300k higher than suffered until end of March in game played vs You.

And they grow ...




Walloc -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 4:56:55 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kamil

New month, new turn, same old problems. I really sometimes have impression, that I will be beaten regardless of my CV.

(All German attacks undertaken against something more than tank brigades)



Im some what amazed that it isnt until now that ppl starting to realize this. U can kick out an enemy of a hex recording X CV and then see the exact same units getting beaten back, displaying a wholly different modified CV in defending than attacking. Well not many realise this fully yet, so we have far from seen the full of extend of this.

This is nothing new at all. Just seems that since more have mentioned it lately so more is noticing it is my guess.

I did alot sandbox testing. This is an average of both sides, not that it does affect the 2 sides equally, but it do affect both sides, but more on that later. A unit with exact same fatigue, exact same leader, exact same ranges to leader directly and above and so on and on will have a modified attacking CV 2.71 times higher, than the exact same unit, with above exact same conditions will have as that units defending modified CV. With the conditions being exactly the same for the opposite side at any time too. In short CV wise a unit is on average is 2.71 more effecient in attacking than in defending. Assuming that u use the HQs "correctly". Math changes totally if u break the command ranges.

The way the engine work attacking simply bias a units modified CV. For a unit to have the same CV effeciency in defending it would have to have a lvl 2 fort or equal modifiers to get just above getting the same CV effeciency when defending.

So while its easy to kick back the germans in the blizzard as u do since the CV will be modified wholly different with him áttacking its just as easy for him to kick u back when he is attacking. The dynamics of modified CV works greater than modifier for the blizzard, not that blizzard doesnt have an very real effect. It would been worse in these cases with out the blizzard, not that it matters as he gets the 2-1 to kick u back which is what he is after.

Since GHC generally have better leaders, the actual average if differentiated between the sides comes out with on average in favor the GHC if u look at the different sides indvidually.

It doesnt stop there tho. I dont think many realize the impact that the rules descriped in 11.3.2 has on modified CV in practical play. As the command structure is different in GHC vs SHC side, the non use of corps HQs on SHC side, means that for leader check failed at the first level gets modified differently for the 2 sides. This means a skill 7 leader isnt the same as a skill lvl 7 leader on one side as the other in regards to this. Assuming ppl know how this works u will see the effects of this much more prone to failing on the defending side than on the attacking side. Creating a futher differential in modfied CV cuz of a higher chance of failed rolls.
An attacking side can circumvent the range modifier by moving HQs around to be close to the actual attack, where defending side/non phasing player naturally dont have this ability.
Moving it to new attacks as they occur and possibly back away from front lines to avoid leader death rolls at end of turn. Again as MP for HQs isnt equal for the 2 sides, there is a gap in the ability to use this at each side.
Since one of the sides generally have poorer generals and that sides modified range wise is in effect worse than other side, then that side will naturally fail rolls even more, degrading the defending CV more than same side attacking as it can as the attacking side as per above descriped can circumvent the "hardness" of the roll.

When u start taking these things all together it sorta creates a perfect storm. Ppl have for long wondered why for example well entrenched cities fall so easily. Well if u can attack from several hexes creating a concentration of force, have an inert bias in attacking vs defending modfied CV, espcially if one side is then hampered per above command range modifier its no wonder that lvl 3 and 4 fort in cities fall with ease.
Why Leningrad is so hard to defend when the terrain historicly hambered the GHC. The effect of CV is at a point where terrain simply matters less, again not that it doesnt have a real effect. Why do u have an endless soviet steamroller late game. U are simply much more effecient attacking than defending so when u get rolling u get rolling.The equalibrium for defending vs attack is so narrow. Ofc if u know this as GHC u can use this but ppl tend mentally to fall into a im defending now state.

I know and i agree in the lackings of the supply system, but IMHO the way the modifying CV part of the combat engine works its just as big part in why steam rolling occures in this game.
Again as ppl start to see the possibilties in this and realize that ur CV is much more efficient in attacking than defending this can change the behavoir of playing. Changing some of the dynamics of the current game. Alot of this is in essence alrdy realized by ppl and used tho not knowing exactly why it occcur.

One can only guess that Gary isnt a big Clausewitz fan. Defending being the stronger of the type of stances. Then there is a popular saying the best defense is an attack.

Kind regards,

Rasmus




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 5:15:55 PM)

Very interesting.




Flaviusx -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 5:45:14 PM)

If this is true, then the game is even more biased towards the offense than I had thought.





Scook_99 -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/27/2012 10:27:49 PM)

Every war game I have seen eventually falls to the attack friendly side. The biggest reason is us: we like to go places and kill things, and it rewards people for being aggressive. Think back to, say version 1.0 of this game, forts were built probably at a correct rate, but people were having a hard time getting anywhere. We like drama, we like tension, and you don't get it from digging mud, mainly by movement and getting somewhere. Is the Op Temp too high? Yep, but overall we like it.

I did something similar when playing World in Flames, don't recall the exact number, but the attacker is rewarded about 2.5 times more often than the defender. Makes for great games with aggresive players, but will generally fall outside the realms of reality. Iacta alea est.




Peltonx -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (6/28/2012 2:29:48 AM)

It is true, thats why I am seeing Russian CV jumping when they are attacking as I posted yesterday. Every attack the CV jumps from say 500 to 1200-1400. The defending cv is unchanged 500ish.

Thats why I keep attacking in 1942 even if there is nothing to gain other then moral and if possible attack in 1943 as GHC. I had no idea why at the time, but I can out grind SHC in 1942 and in 1943 vs M60.

Basicly never stop attacking until German manpower level gets to 3.4 million. That as I have and another late war German player has fighured out is the tipping point.

Jamian unknowning uses this CV issue grinding to Moscow.




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/1/2012 1:18:20 PM)

T34 north (Soviet)


It is February so there are only 4 more turns to go. I need to focus and make one more push.

Not in the north though.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/A8FE34A0E3B9410E881ECD3874D6A04B.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/1/2012 1:29:28 PM)

T34 centre (Soviet)


I have to say I am very pleased with myself. Good turn and I am not referring to destruction of 13 infantry regiments and taking 39k prisoners.

Western front advances steadly applying some pressure from the north, but glory went to Bryansk, Southwestern and Volkov Fronts. Somehow I managed to herd last bunch off Saper's units withdrawing from Orel bulge. I have no doubts he will break encirclement and reinforce Orel so I will have to cut pocket down, but I still expect good catch.

It is up to fuel now, because greatest part of pocket are 3,33 motorised divisions.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/1760F8D2127D4EAFA9D9867A45CB9E7B.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/1/2012 1:32:33 PM)

T34 centre/south (Soviet)


I am reinforcing this area using freshly arrived troops. I hope it will be enough when snow turn come.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/3F94F0F34CEE4F9FB6BB6C5C3B1CC834.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/1/2012 1:34:16 PM)

T34 south (Soviet)


It seems that Stalino will be beyond my reach.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/57F3D81A837747E3AC372D1683E438B5.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/1/2012 4:54:06 PM)

T35 centre (German)


Saper managed to reopen Orel pocket, but fortunately his motorised divisions didn't have much fuel. Good.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/2E38D2DF945640A797FB40DD463108DF.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/1/2012 4:55:23 PM)

T35 south (German)


Determined and very active German defence of Stalino continues.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/D13F801CE8F346EAB301B18463AC013D.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/10/2012 8:55:28 PM)

T35 center (Soviet)


I did not have means to do anything in Moscow and northern area, but center part of the front was very active.


South-west from Kaluga I lost crucial battle that prevented encircled of 1 1/3 inf divisions. Fortunately there was no place left for luck in Orel area. My battle-hardened troops brushed German defenses aside and reestablished pocket.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/7224D8A0966F41A1B77297742A7DC68D.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/10/2012 9:09:24 PM)

T35 south (Soviet)


Very intensive fighting here. I think that Stalino is beyond my reach.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/279DBC37F0D44398AA6F4392B9710639.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/10/2012 9:19:16 PM)

T36 center (German)


Surprisingly, all around the front Germans conducted only handful of attacks. I think Saper is readying himself for snow.

[image]local://upfiles/37480/96BF7744F2DE447E970CE4FCBD5CC0E8.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/10/2012 9:21:42 PM)

T36 south (German)


Similar situation in the south.


My cavalry spearhead was cut off but it is only temporary.


[image]local://upfiles/37480/D01642EEDFAF422BB238A2BACBC32CA5.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/10/2012 9:55:15 PM)

T36 center (Soviet)


Time for maneuvering is over. I started establishing defensive positions and made final straightforward frontal push, Almost classical late February turn.


The difference was made by 55000 captured Germans - 5 destroyed divisions (3 inf and 2 mot) and 6 regiments (5 inf and 1 mot). Great ending to Tula bulge saga.



[image]local://upfiles/37480/BE67F9FF59564F89A348788F08E5B585.jpg[/image]




KamilS -> RE: GC41 - Saper222 (Ger) vs Kamil (Sov) (No Saper222) (7/10/2012 10:04:13 PM)

T36 south (Soviet)


Preparation for March are much more frantic in the south.

Saper is very strong here and I have to patch up front between Kharkov and Kursk. I need to do it as quickly as I can because defending with single line of 1 CV units won't be good idea

[image]local://upfiles/37480/EB282D4D36C149AE820F36CD509F5BD2.jpg[/image]




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