Bullwinkle58 -> RE: Nothing Up My Sleeve: Magical Moose Tricks--Bullwinkle58 vs.1EyedJacks (12/6/2012 4:12:32 PM)
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January 13, 1942 "You have your ideology and I have mine(s)." (Almost) Khalil Gibran 1) Boy howdy am I glad I stuck some mines in Hilo! TF 79 encounters mine field at Hilo (183,111) Japanese Ships SS I-173, Mine hits 1, on fire, heavy damage 2) ASW attack near Tawi Tawi at 71,89 Japanese Ships DD Kuretake, Torpedo hits 1, on fire, heavy damage TB Otori APD Yomogi xAP Hakozaki Maru DD Tatsukaze DD Shikinami Allied Ships SS KXVI At the end of the night phase a sinking sound effect is heard. My best guess is it is the DD and not I-173, sound-effect gourmet that I am. My experience is that subs very often survive pre-war mine models with about 50 flooding points. But I-173 should need a trip to Truk at minimum. This TF is also very heavily escorted for one xAP. My best guess is it is carrying engineers to Tarakan for petroleum repairs and an air field to help with Balikpapan. Tarakan itself is still mined. Also this turn Puerto Princesa falls, giving Japan an extra recon base for eastern Borneo ops. The base force at PP retreats to the NE. 3) For proponents of an HR forbididng night bombing, I offer this: Night Air attack on Pegu , at 55,53 Weather in hex: Partial cloud Raid spotted at 45 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 15 minutes Japanese aircraft no flights Allied aircraft SB-III x 3 Japanese aircraft losses Ki-43-Ib Oscar: 1 destroyed on ground No Allied losses Airbase supply hits 1 Runway hits 1 Aircraft Attacking: 3 x SB-III bombing from 7000 feet * Airfield Attack: 3 x 100 kg GP Bomb No CAP; a few bombers get through. But from the Combatevents report: 3 x 2nd BG/11th BS CAF SB-III stray due to night 2 x 2nd BG/30th BS CAF SB-III stray due to night And the follow-on strike does nothing: Night Air attack on Pegu , at 55,53 Weather in hex: Partial cloud Raid spotted at 25 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 8 minutes Allied aircraft SB-III x 3 No Allied losses And the third costs the Allies: Night Air attack on Pegu , at 55,53 Weather in hex: Partial cloud Raid spotted at 36 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 12 minutes Allied aircraft SB-III x 2 Allied aircraft losses SB-III: 1 damaged With a minimum night CAP it's unlikely any would have scored any hits. This would represent an expansion of Japanese effort, but also would complicate Allied planning and risk assessment. IMO, night bombing is not overpowered and should be allowed. 4) Initial Zero sweep at Palembang is timed perfectly and destroys the one Dutch fighter on duty before the big strike comes in on its heels: Morning Air attack on Palembang , at 48,91 Weather in hex: Light cloud Raid spotted at 11 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 4 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M2 Zero x 15 G3M2 Nell x 20 Allied aircraft no flights No Japanese losses Allied aircraft losses PBY-5 Catalina: 6 damaged B-339D: 1 destroyed on ground Allied ground losses: 5 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled Airbase hits 9 Airbase supply hits 2 Runway hits 33 As at Singers, every turn I evaluate whether it's worth it to keep any aircraft at each base. Right now it's a matter of odds. There are a smattering of Hurricane units coming on the board, two at Aden this turn, and heavy Air Cobra units about to arrive at CT. But it may be time to evac Palembang's AF for now. Air search is nice, but I have really nothing with which to attack what I find. I may make one more (probably fruitless) effort to get enough of an air HQ from Singers to P. in order to use TBs at P. In the meantime I think Batavia might get more guests. 5) Speaking of Hurricanes, having a few makes the movie go down a little easier. Also Singers' substantial AA. Morning Air attack on Singapore , at 50,84 Weather in hex: Light rain Raid detected at 39 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 13 minutes Japanese aircraft G4M1 Betty x 25 Ki-43-Ib Oscar x 24 Allied aircraft Hurricane IIb Trop x 5 Japanese aircraft losses G4M1 Betty: 6 damaged Ki-43-Ib Oscar: 2 destroyed Allied aircraft losses Albacore I: 1 destroyed on ground Allied ground losses: 3 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Airbase hits 21 Airbase supply hits 3 Runway hits 44 6) Typical day at Bataan, beating up on the elderly (poor Stearmans!) Japan is really chewing up the supply dumps. There were two other attacks here not shown. Morning Air attack on Bataan , at 78,77 Weather in hex: Heavy rain Raid detected at 77 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 26 minutes Japanese aircraft G3M2 Nell x 3 G4M1 Betty x 83 Allied aircraft no flights Japanese aircraft losses G4M1 Betty: 1 damaged Allied aircraft losses Stearman 75M: 2 damaged Stearman 75M: 1 destroyed on ground Airbase hits 4 Airbase supply hits 11 Runway hits 36 7) Picked this up in the Combatevents report: "SOC-1 Seagull sighting report: 2 Japanese ships at 80,74 near San Fernando , Speed 14 , Moving Southeast" This could be several things. Maybe more forces for San Fernando for an overland assault on Clark. Or it could be aimed at IBA or Lingayan. My tanks sent to Iba to try a shock attack made a little more than half the distance the first day. Recon with one plane available shows no LCUs at Iba. Could be below threshold, or he could have taken them off and only taken Iba to cut off a Lingayan retreat hex. If it's empty I'll re-take it and go back to Clark. 7) B-17 attack on the AF at Johnson I. doesn't get results and loses a Fort, but does give good intel. The CAP over Johnson is the KBs. Whether it is on the range fringe as the KB retires or the KB is in rat-trap mode waiting for another cruiser bombardment of Johnson I don't know. But for at least this turn I know the KB is still around. Morning Air attack on Johnston Island , at 164,112 Weather in hex: Light cloud Raid detected at 32 NM, estimated altitude 16,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 8 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M2 Zero x 18 Allied aircraft B-17D Fortress x 5 No Japanese losses Allied aircraft losses B-17D Fortress: 1 destroyed, 4 damaged Aircraft Attacking: 4 x B-17D Fortress bombing from 11000 feet * Airfield Attack: 4 x 500 lb GP Bomb CAP engaged: Akagi-1 with A6M2 Zero (0 airborne, 3 on standby, 0 scrambling) Group patrol altitude is 10000 , scrambling fighters to 15000. Time for all group planes to reach interception is 20 minutes Kaga-1 with A6M2 Zero (0 airborne, 3 on standby, 0 scrambling) Group patrol altitude is 10000 , scrambling fighters to 17000. Time for all group planes to reach interception is 15 minutes Soryu-1 with A6M2 Zero (0 airborne, 3 on standby, 0 scrambling) Group patrol altitude is 10000 , scrambling fighters to 13000. Time for all group planes to reach interception is 24 minutes Hiryu-1 with A6M2 Zero (0 airborne, 3 on standby, 0 scrambling) Group patrol altitude is 10000 , scrambling fighters to 9000. Time for all group planes to reach interception is 8 minutes Shokaku-1 with A6M2 Zero (0 airborne, 3 on standby, 0 scrambling) Group patrol altitude is 10000 , scrambling fighters to 15000. Time for all group planes to reach interception is 12 minutes Zuikaku-1 with A6M2 Zero (0 airborne, 3 on standby, 0 scrambling) Group patrol altitude is 10000 , scrambling fighters to 10000. Time for all group planes to reach interception is 13 minutes
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