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rkr1958 -> RE: Global War AAR in Pictures (5/22/2016 9:18:42 PM)
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Turn 23. May/Jun 1943. Allied #10. Western Allies. Italy.
The allies moves in Italy were with an eye for an assault on the mountain hex directly west of Taranto and with the intention of screening, and not attacking, Messina.
During the land combat phase, even with HQ support from Bradley, the best odds that the allies could get on the mountain hex west of Tranato was +7.643 on the assault table. With two Italian units stacked in the hex this meant that the allies needed a modified roll of 19 or higher to take the hex. The odds for this were put at 51%, just a hair better than a coin flip. The odds for a disastrous roll; i.e., a modified 14 and the loss of 3 units, was put at 5.4% (approximately 1 in 20). With these odds allied high command consider the risk too much and decided to delay the attack. So, no attacks by the Western Allies in Italy were made this impulse.
[image]local://upfiles/31901/8658C09F77FA43A1A85EB487453B5FCB.jpg[/image]
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