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rkr1958 -> RE: Witness to World War 2. (4/7/2019 6:33:43 PM)
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Turn 18. Jul/Aug 1942. Axis #3. Japan. Northern China. communist Chinese Front (CCF). 1. Japan captures the open-city of Yenan. No reaction by the US. 2. A potential assault on Sian looks very tempting. However, the best that the Japanese could muster was approximately +6, which, which gives an 80% chance of taking the city, only gives a 10% chance of the attackers remaining fully organized and a 64% that they would be fully disorganize. Also, this attack would carry a 7% chance that 3 of the 4 attacking armies would be lost. Given that the axis have at worse 2 more fine weather impulses, and more likely they'll get 4, this assault this early in the turn just doesn't make sense, especially with the Japanese flanking the communist northern flank. So, maneuver is the name of the game right now. [image]local://upfiles/31901/5FDD98AB036045F0BEBAAC7481F664E4.jpg[/image]
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