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obvert -> RE: OT: Corona virus (3/14/2020 1:53:05 PM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Canoerebel
In the USA, many school systems have already closed. We've postponed or cancelled major events. We've limited travel. In some ways, the US has responded more quickly than European countries because we've had the benefit of seeing what they're experiencing and how they're dealing with it. Europe is about three weeks into this; we're about ten days into hit.
The first case I the US was Jan. 21 in the Seattle area. From the time of your post that's almost exactly seven weeks.
On top of that there were no tests at that time for the majority of people who had symptoms, so the first case may have been even sooner, and we have no idea how many there were in WA.
South Korea's first case was on Jan 20. So both the US and SK had the example of the Chinese model to slow the disease and only one country followed that example. For whatever reason, testing in the US has been a disaster.
The private sector closed events and stopped large groups. The travel ban came 6-7 weeks after the first case, long after community transmission was rampant throughout the US, rendering it completely meaningless.
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We have a federal system of government. Localities, states, and some federal departments have responded more quickly than others. Overall, the ramp-up in the past two days has been marked. That's good.
In Georgia, the governor authorized each school system to respond as it felt appropriate, encouraging them to consider closing. Many systems in and near affected areas are already closed. Some in more rural and isolated regions have the latitude to try to work around upcoming spring breaks, to smooth out the process. This might not work perfectly, but across the state school superintendents seem to appreciate the flexibility to handle it locally. Most will likely err on the side of acting quickly to minimize the possibility of making the wrong call.
It is exactly this partial and haphazard locally designed methods of countering the outbreak that will fail. The virus doesn't recognise county, state of even national boundaries.
You have posted relentlessly on the example of China and how their numbers have flattened. If you're meaning to use that as an example of what we'll see elsewhere then the only way it will happen is to follow their steps of limiting transmissions.
s the US building new hospitals in 10 days? Is the US setting up quarantine centers to isolate large numbers of infected individuals away from the family and communities? Is the US testing relentlessly, sometimes door to door? Are state borders closed with temperature checkpoints? Are whole industries, including factories and all non-essential businesses closed? Are people required to stay at home at risk of being arrested, for up to 3-4 weeks?
I could go on, but the only countries doing anything similar to China are South Korea and now Italy.
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