Canoerebel -> RE: Here come the Rebels! (Canoe v. Q-Ball) (8/16/2010 8:03:38 PM)
|
2/1/42 A quiet turn except for the Japanese landing at Carnarvon, Australia, plus the lengthy que of Allied ships undergoing upgrades. Auto Victory: A player of Q-Ball's ability can shoot for auto victory - an enticing goal, and one that unsettles me as the Allied player. The Japanese player has to develop and implement a well-thought-out and effective plan to achieve a 4:1 points ratio by 1/1/43 or else the chance vanishes and the Allies will eventually win the game barring unusual circumstances. I am proceeding on the assumption that Q-Ball will try to achieve auto-victory, so here's an analysis of how things stand by theater: NoPac: All is quiet here except for the Allied stinger missions against Shikuka. I expect Brad to make a move on the western Aleutians come spring. I want to land some reinforcements here, but other places take priority. So he'll probably be able to pick up some islands cheaply. The path to auto-victory doesn't pass through the Aleutians, so these are low priority. Moreover, whatever Brad takes I can later use to draw his attention to this region if I want to create a feint. CenPac: My first concern is Midway and the Hawaiin Islands as these are one of the three pathways to auto victory, in my opinion. About 140 AV are ashore at Midway. Lihue's garrisoned has been beefed up by a Marine CD unit. A regiment each are aboard transports heading to Hilo and the base across the big island. Once these reinforcements are in place I will begin attending to some of the other outposts in this area - Palmyra, Christmas, etc. Thus far CenPac has been very quiet except for a few submarines nosing around. SoPac: I don't think SoPac is on a pathway to auto-victory, so except for Pago Pago (and eventually Tahiti), this region is far down the priority list at the moment. I expect Brad to take Noumea shortly; I think Suva will be on his list; I doubt he'll venture as far out as Pago Pago, but that could change. I will concede New Zealand if I have to - I prefer to protect Australia. SoPac has been quiet except for New Caledonia and the New Hebrides, plus a sub lurking at Pago Pago. SWPac: Oz is a major concern as the Japanese are landing as far south as Carnarvon, and a land unit is moving south from Coen to Cooktown. Brad has gone about as far as he can, now, without committing to a major operation that would trouble me greatly. Reinforcements - and Australian division and two more US Army regiments - are on the way, but Brad might try to implement a blockade if he has serious intentions towards Oz. Ceylon/India: Japan hasn't done anything to suggest that an invasion in this region is coming, but I'm still very suspicious. Another Australian division arrives at Aden in a few weeks, and I think I'll send it to India. Unless, that is, Brad does something in the meantime to confirm that he is focusing on Oz rather than India. Nothings going to happen until Singapore falls, but that won't be long now.
|
|
|
|