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Canoerebel -> RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent (1/26/2018 1:56:39 PM)
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At the current pace of operations, the war should last about 30 to 45 days. If John strikes hard and scores a bunch of points, that could be extended. If the collapse of the Empire accelerates, which is definitely possible, that could be sooner.
Within a week, I expect the Allies to lay siege to Singapore and Peiping. I think there's a decent chance Keijo will fall within a week or two. While that's going on, the 4EB will keep hitting Japan hard.
As soon as Keijo falls, I'll be making some big choices. I have 7,000 AV in southern Korea. I think I'll prep the units for the Home Islands while not expecting the war to last nearly long enough to trigger an invasion. In the meantime, the Allied army in Korea will move north, post haste, to campaign for Mukden, Harbin, etc. This will be synergistic with the Allied campaign in northern China.
I won't need full Death Star for those campaigns. Neither am I inclined to employ DS against the Home Island (I can already do that from the Yellow Sea or transferring my aircraf to Korea bases - I already have a level 9, level 8 and level 6, with more to come. I see no profit in giving John's accumulated kamikazes a short-range opportunity against Death Star.
Instead, I'm likely to divide DS into two powerful forces. One half will remain on station here. The other half will head to the DEI. The mission down there will be the usual supply escorting duty plus invasions of Makassar, Balikpapan, Palembang and Java. The units and shipping are in place and 100% prepped.
There probably isn't enough time left in the game to even accomplish those medium-term operations, but they're available if needed.
The Allies are currently 13.5k points from victory. In the past nine days, I've scored 4,000 points. John has scored 1,000. The net change has been +3,000. At that rate, I'd need about five weeks to achieve victory. But the fall of Keijo, the possible fall of Peiping, the disintegration of the Japanese army in China, the perilous state of the Japanese army in Korea, and the increasingly effective 4EB campaign raise the possiblity the Japan is on the verge of collapse.
To add mystery and intrigue to the mix, John still has a strong KB and a rather massive air force. He has the ability to strike and sting and delay what seems inevitable.
The Victory Point system is what makes this all fun at this point.
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